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	<title>Comments on: 5 ways to make your threat appear credible</title>
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	<description>Articles on game theory and personal finance</description>
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		<title>By: Say no to ATM fees and improve your finances forever - Mind Your Decisions</title>
		<link>http://mindyourdecisions.com/blog/2007/08/21/game-theory-tuesdays-on-making-better-threats/comment-page-1/#comment-8827</link>
		<dc:creator>Say no to ATM fees and improve your finances forever - Mind Your Decisions</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Aug 2011 05:20:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mindyourdecisions.com/blog/2007/08/21/game-theory-tuesdays-on-making-better-threats/#comment-8827</guid>
		<description>[...] For advice on techniques that can improve your local personal finance decisions, get started by paying yourself first and by getting what you want by making more credible threats. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] For advice on techniques that can improve your local personal finance decisions, get started by paying yourself first and by getting what you want by making more credible threats. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Credible vs non-credible threat - Mind Your Decisions</title>
		<link>http://mindyourdecisions.com/blog/2007/08/21/game-theory-tuesdays-on-making-better-threats/comment-page-1/#comment-7125</link>
		<dc:creator>Credible vs non-credible threat - Mind Your Decisions</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Aug 2010 05:07:12 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>[...] For more, check out this post on 5 ways to make your threat appear credible. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] For more, check out this post on 5 ways to make your threat appear credible. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Applying game theory to relationships, MBA, parenting &#8211; 4 videos by Barry Nalebuff - Mind Your Decisions</title>
		<link>http://mindyourdecisions.com/blog/2007/08/21/game-theory-tuesdays-on-making-better-threats/comment-page-1/#comment-6645</link>
		<dc:creator>Applying game theory to relationships, MBA, parenting &#8211; 4 videos by Barry Nalebuff - Mind Your Decisions</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jun 2010 07:49:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mindyourdecisions.com/blog/2007/08/21/game-theory-tuesdays-on-making-better-threats/#comment-6645</guid>
		<description>[...] How to make your threat more credible [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] How to make your threat more credible [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Charlie Brown and game theory - Mind Your Decisions</title>
		<link>http://mindyourdecisions.com/blog/2007/08/21/game-theory-tuesdays-on-making-better-threats/comment-page-1/#comment-5816</link>
		<dc:creator>Charlie Brown and game theory - Mind Your Decisions</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Nov 2009 08:53:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mindyourdecisions.com/blog/2007/08/21/game-theory-tuesdays-on-making-better-threats/#comment-5816</guid>
		<description>[...] is that Lucy&#8217;s promises always appeared credible but they never were. There are ways to make your claims sound credible, and in this respect, Lucy was a game theory [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] is that Lucy&#8217;s promises always appeared credible but they never were. There are ways to make your claims sound credible, and in this respect, Lucy was a game theory [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Aman</title>
		<link>http://mindyourdecisions.com/blog/2007/08/21/game-theory-tuesdays-on-making-better-threats/comment-page-1/#comment-5694</link>
		<dc:creator>Aman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2009 15:38:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://mindyourdecisions.com/blog/2007/08/21/game-theory-tuesdays-on-making-better-threats/#comment-5694</guid>
		<description>Method 2 has an interesting tie-in with fear as a propaganda method.  Stalin was known to rule through a combination of fear and uncertainty.  Propaganda and rhetoric exploits people&#039;s emotional/irrational tendencies (e.g. bandwagon, glittering generalities, plain folk, fear), though hedging against a Method 2 type threat might actually be a rational response--assuming one actually tried (and failed) to prove the risk.  For example, I might allege that a dictator in a distant country has proven animosity towards your country, and since the dictator has rejected attempts to investigate suspicious weapons programs, he may or may not seek the means to attack your country with devastating force.  Other attempts at diplomacy and defense have failed.  Sounds like it&#039;s time to invade...North Korea!

Also, I wonder if you&#039;d reconsider the use of the words &quot;insane&quot; and &quot;crazy&quot; to mean &quot;irrational.&quot;  Aversion to inequality in the ultimatum game follows its own logic in the context of interactions in which social norms dictate that a decision maker should punish/discourage selfish behavior for the benefit of others in a social group, and ultimately, the decision maker.  Since inequality aversion is more prevalent in societies with free markets (vs. places where you take what&#039;s given and like it), one might say that agents following the irrational strategy reflect an assumption that there must be a better deal somewhere (though there isn&#039;t in this game), and that one should not settle lest &quot;unfair&quot; splits become the norm.

I think the &quot;crazy/insane&quot; point deserves distinction since it hinges on a fundamental economic assumption (rationality), and so much interesting research surrounds how, when, why, and more importantly, to what extent this assumption is not valid in various interactions.  (Also, in practice, the most reliable profit maximizer is likely to be a sociopath--not commonly considered &quot;sane.&quot;)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Method 2 has an interesting tie-in with fear as a propaganda method.  Stalin was known to rule through a combination of fear and uncertainty.  Propaganda and rhetoric exploits people&#8217;s emotional/irrational tendencies (e.g. bandwagon, glittering generalities, plain folk, fear), though hedging against a Method 2 type threat might actually be a rational response&#8211;assuming one actually tried (and failed) to prove the risk.  For example, I might allege that a dictator in a distant country has proven animosity towards your country, and since the dictator has rejected attempts to investigate suspicious weapons programs, he may or may not seek the means to attack your country with devastating force.  Other attempts at diplomacy and defense have failed.  Sounds like it&#8217;s time to invade&#8230;North Korea!</p>
<p>Also, I wonder if you&#8217;d reconsider the use of the words &#8220;insane&#8221; and &#8220;crazy&#8221; to mean &#8220;irrational.&#8221;  Aversion to inequality in the ultimatum game follows its own logic in the context of interactions in which social norms dictate that a decision maker should punish/discourage selfish behavior for the benefit of others in a social group, and ultimately, the decision maker.  Since inequality aversion is more prevalent in societies with free markets (vs. places where you take what&#8217;s given and like it), one might say that agents following the irrational strategy reflect an assumption that there must be a better deal somewhere (though there isn&#8217;t in this game), and that one should not settle lest &#8220;unfair&#8221; splits become the norm.</p>
<p>I think the &#8220;crazy/insane&#8221; point deserves distinction since it hinges on a fundamental economic assumption (rationality), and so much interesting research surrounds how, when, why, and more importantly, to what extent this assumption is not valid in various interactions.  (Also, in practice, the most reliable profit maximizer is likely to be a sociopath&#8211;not commonly considered &#8220;sane.&#8221;)</p>
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