Comments on: Predicting the future of Iran using game theory | Bruce Bueno de Mesquita on TED.com

By: John

John — Sat, 24 Apr 2010 06:43:57 +0000

See

for a critique of BDM’s work.

Rápidas « De Gustibus Non Est Disputandum — Tue, 16 Mar 2010 23:45:00 +0000

[...] 3. Ciência Política…séria [...]

Siddharth Shah — Sat, 22 Aug 2009 04:15:41 +0000

Should he not be telling his absolute accuracy rate? More on Bruce Buena de Mesquita on

Anthony — Thu, 30 Apr 2009 04:44:12 +0000

Eric, the book is called “Inside CIA’s Private World.” The figure he cites is on page 275. http://books.google.com/books?id=6jfi0WTJ9tcC&pg=PA275&lpg=PA275&dq=

Presh, there is a lot of money to be made modeling policy. Look up Stratfor. They forecast world events and charge lofty subscription fees.

The founder of Stratfor has a book called “America’s Secret War” that is worth reading. It is heavy on game theory as it relates to geopolitics.

If you ever want to go into business, I’ll handle operations and you can do the math.

Eric Herboso — Tue, 28 Apr 2009 17:11:26 +0000

Please post a follow-up once you find out where he got that 90% accurate figure. I can’t find it anywhere online. It seems kind of fishy to me.